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The numbers say otherwise
This is one for the political scientists/analysts to interpret and explain and I hope they will. In the 2010 general election Jack Warner, on a UNC ticket, obtained over 19,000 votes. In Monday’s by-election Mr Warner got approximately 12,500 votes while Ms Ameen got just over 5,126. In other words, the total of Ms Ameen and Mr Warner votes, which is basically UNC vote, is less than what Mr Warner got in 2010.
Is this not an indication that both UNC and Mr Warner have lost support since 2010, with the biggest loser being Mr Warner whose votes dropped from 19-plus thousand to 12 and a half thousand? Another factor to be considered is that the constituency has an electorate of around 27,000. So what happened to the nine thousand who did not exercise their right to vote? Why these people did not come out to vote is another one for the political scientists to analyse and explain to us.
To say that Mr Warner won overwhelmingly on Monday is not entirely true. The majority (the 9,000 who did not vote and the 5,000 who voted for Khadijah Ameen) did not support Jack Warner. That is 14,000 or more than half of the electorate! Forty seven per cent of those eligible to vote supported the ILP leader and 53 per cent did not. To me the biggest message sent was from the 9,000 who did not go to the polls and it was sent primarily to Mr Warner. This reminds me of the days when PNM used to win elections.
Anyway, congratulations to Mr Warner.
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